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James
Tobin was born in 1918. He did his graduate work in economics at Harvard
University and has been a professor of economics at Yale University since
1950. He won the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1981 for "his analysis of
financial markets and their relations to expenditure decisions, employment,
production, and prices." He was president of the America Economic Association
in 1970. He served as a member of President Kennedy's Council of Economic
Advisors in 1961 and 1962. He was also advisor to 1972 presidential candidate
George McGovern. He is best known for his Keynesian stance in economics
and his work on financial markets.
In 1972, James Tobin and Bill Nordhaus constructed a Measure of Economic
Welfare (MEW) for the American economy, which made some very important
adjustments to the conventional measurement of GNP. Among their changes,
value was ascribed to leisure and household work and they ascribed some
costs to urbanization. In the conventional GNP measurement, commuting
to work is given a positve value, whereas the MEW rightfully measures
it as a cost. They found that MEW, like GNP did grow over the period under
study, however, it grew more slowly.
Tobin also
introduced the idea of "Tobin's q" as a measure to predict whether capital
investment would increase or decrease. "Tobin's q" is simply the ratio
between the market value of an asset and its replacement cost. He believed
this ratio could be used to predict future capital investment, and thus,
a good predictor of general economic conditions.
Tobin is also
known for his portfolio-selection theory, which states that investors
balance high-risk, high-return investments with lower-risk investments
in order to achieve balance.
Works by James
Tobin:
National
Economic Policy
The New Economics
One Decade Older
On Improving
the Economic Status of the Negro, Daedalus
One or Two
Cheers for "The Invisable Hand", Dissent
Two Revolutions
in Economic Theory, The First Economic Reports of President Kennedy and
Reagan
Liquidity Preference
as Behavior towards Risk, Review of Economic Studies
Monetary Policy,
The Fortune Encyclopedia of Economics
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